Population &
Economic Growth
Since Independence of India, population has grown
from 361.1 million in 1951 to 1210.2 million in 2011, an absolute increase by 849
million during the last 60 years. The net addition in population during this
period has been increasing consistently, with over 2% increase per annum since
1951. Population is further expected to 1370 million by 2021, an increase of
160 million during the decade. Similarly, density of India was as low as 117
persons per sq. kilometre and this steadily increased from one decade to
another to reach 382 in 2011. The persons living per sq. km. has increased by
216 per cent in the last sixty years.
This is a matter of great concern as it puts
immense pressure on India’s natural resources (water, power, food, education,
housing etc.) in general. It also adversely affects the quality of life of
people as well as governance.
India's growth rate especially during the first 40
years after independence was low by standards of developing countries. In
1947, the average annual income in India was $439, compared with $619 for China
and $770 for South Korea. By 2010, the respective numbers were $2,960, $6,020
and $28,120.
With the growing population, more persons per sq. kilometer
is causing population explosion and break down of governance. Police per one
lakh population is 137 at national level and 52.4 per 100 sq. km.
In addition, urbanization of population is causing
additional stress – from 17% urban population in 1951 to 28% in 2001 (30% + in
2011). Due to this, we see population explosion in cities & urban towns.
Case for
Corruption
As a result, the vast numbers of people competing
for all kinds of services, leading to demand hugely outstripping supply,
coupled with people's ignorance and therefore lack of power, enables corruption
to flourish in India. Providers of any service can demand bribes for just doing
their job, and the public are willing to pay "extra" to get that
elusive service.
Additionally, people at lower spectrum do not
bother about the law & order (be it crossing of roads, waiting for signals
in crossing, following queues in public places etc), as they are too lowly in
economic strata and Government do not have the wherewithal to enforce governance
or take care of them. Many cases of thefts (small/big – pick pockets, chain
snatching), ragging, molestations, rapes, murders do not get caught as police
is too busy following up big cases & scams and do not have the time to
follow through on these cases, which are petty in the scheme of things. This
leads to law & order being partial and where there are chances, corruption (bribe)
grows. Simply speaking, many of these cases do not even get registered and law
of land is enforced (that is, for traffic signal breaking, traffic police shall
pocket Rs.100/200 and close the case on spot, as against seizing license/vehicle
and taking the case to mobile courts for normal justice of fine).
As they say, corruption breeds corruption. And one
corrupt individual will lead to corrupting 100 additional persons. While some cases
are supposedly petty in nature (like traffic policemen pocking few money),
other cases are big and when explodes, becomes scams. In a society that is
poor, unaware and divided, politicians can afford to launch all kinds of huge
public projects, steal staggeringly large amounts of money, and leave the
projects incomplete.
Stopping, or at the least curbing, corruption is
important, but there are many ways to work towards that effort. Now, there are
politicians, economists and bureaucrats who have gone on record to say
corruption exists and should be legalized, which is like saying, murder is
acceptable.
Path for
redemption
This has the cascading effect of preventing
economic and social development, with money meant for development gets pocketed
by people in power and pittance are thrown for the actual development. When
there is not enough grass root development – growth of infrastructure,
education, health & sanitary in the country, this leads to further issue of
investment drying up, with investors not keen to invest in India.
Economists have recognized important linkages
between population and socio-economic development. Yet, the attention given to
these linkages in current development thinking in India is not very clear. This
is because one can argue that it is not rapid population growth but rather weak
government, corruption and social injustices that are preventing economic and
social development. The counter argument is that rapid population growth exacerbates
the problems of weak government, corruption and social injustice. However, one
has to recognize that population is an important factor in development,
especially when it is growing seemingly out of control.
Having said all this, population growth cannot be
reversed in short run and will have to be used as a factor for development.
Also, other points of having strong government committed to growth of nation, reversing
urbanization, ensure grass root development, improve infrastructure needs to be
prioritized if India as a nation believes in being a developing nation and sees
itself as being strong economically & fundamentally in long run.
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